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TRACKING 71139 EVENTS · 25505 SOURCES
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US diesel and fuel price surge 2026

One page that accretes the verified record as the story develops. Every fact keeps its date and its sources.

49 DAYS
987 FACTS
80 EVENTS
91 SOURCES
FIRST ENTRY SEP 04
OCT 22 · Day 49

Gas prices unlikely to drop below $4 before midterms, experts say

Refineries have begun shifting toward a less-expensive blend of winter fuel.

The latest Brent crude price amounts to a rise of nearly 60% since the start of the Iran war.

The U.S. is the world's largest oil producer.

OCT 22 · Day 49

American Airlines forecasts bigger 2026 loss on fuel spike, plans to slow growth

American's third-quarter adjusted loss was 28 cents per share.

American Airlines forecast a full-year adjusted loss between $1 and $1.60 per share for 2026.

American Airlines is based in Fort Worth, Texas.

OCT 21 · Day 48

Southwest Airlines cuts 2026 profit forecast on higher fuel costs

Southwest Airlines cut its 2026 profit forecast due to higher fuel prices.

Southwest Airlines forecast per-share adjusted earnings of between 55 cents and 80 cents in the fourth quarter.

Southwest Airlines' revenue rose more than 21% to $8.42 billion in the third quarter.

OCT 21 · Day 48

Trump supporters respond to gas prices

Republican Senate candidate Michael Whatley is facing former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper.

Trump held a rally at Pitt-Greenville Airport on Tuesday.

A Trump supporter named Steve said it would take an act of God to lower prices before the election.

OCT 20 · Day 47

Trump announces $8 billion for farmers to offset diesel costs

Diesel prices hovered near a national average of about $6.32 per gallon on Tuesday after hitting a record high in September.

Trump announced the relief program at a campaign rally in Kansas and on social media.

The relief program is called the Harvest Fuel Relief Program.

OCT 20 · Day 47

Trump announces fuel relief for farmers

Trump made the announcement in Kansas on Monday night.

The announcement was part of Trump's midterm pitch.

President Donald Trump announced a new fuel relief program for farmers.

OCT 16 · Day 43

Soaring diesel prices taking toll on Oklahoma rancher

Scott Belden is 55 years old.

The average price for a gallon of diesel was $6.32 on Thursday, according to AAA.

Belden burns 90 to 100 gallons of diesel per day during harvest.

“I think we're all in trouble. If we don't get control of this diesel fuel and get it -- like right now -- people, people are probably consuming the loss, like as myself, but that cannot continue. So if they don't get control of the diesel fuel soon, we're really going to see a spike.”
SCOTT BELDEN verbatim
OCT 15 · Day 42

IEA to release over 20 million barrels of diesel

Prices have surged as Ukraine has pounded Russian refineries and Iran and its Houthi allies have attacked energy facilities around the Persian Gulf.

The IEA is headquartered in Paris.

IEA members agreed in March to deploy 400 million barrels of oil in response to the global supply disruption triggered by the Iran war.

“not solve the basic problem which is how to increase production at refineries which are damaged in the Middle East or Russia, and operating at capacity in the USA,”
ANDY LIPOW verbatim
OCT 15 · Day 42

Oil prices fall as investors assess Mideast tensions and IEA report

Brent crude December futures dropped 1.66% to $104.31 a barrel.

Oil fell on Thursday as traders assessed potential supply disruptions following attacks on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz and digested the International Energy Agency's latest monthly oil market report.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate November futures fell 1.09% to $94.05 per barrel.

OCT 14 · Day 41

Refineries eye record profits from diesel shortage

Patrick Pouyanné said the energy crisis ignited by almost eight months of war in the Middle East had provided plenty of opportunities.

The market value of Marathon Petroleum, Valero Energy and Phillips 66 have more than doubled since the start of the crisis.

Shell expects to make record profits from each barrel of fuel produced over the last three months.

“Roll forward, the next wave of the crisis was jet fuel in Europe, and everybody was saying, ‘Can people go on their holidays? Maybe we shouldn’t travel.’ Our refineries were able to adapt their runs to produce 30% more jet [fuel] in May than they did before the conflict, again to make sure that the customer need was met,”
MEG O'NEILL verbatim
OCT 14 · Day 41

Americans face surging heating oil costs ahead of winter

Heating oil prices in Connecticut have reached $5.69 a gallon as of October 2026.

Brittney Worden said she expects to pay close to $5,000 to heat her home this winter.

Trump defended the diesel import plan in a social media post, calling it the right choice for the American People.

OCT 11 · Day 38

Backlash over Trump plan to import diesel from Russia

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and UK Defence Secretary Wes Streeting criticised the deal.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the agreement would work through existing legal channels and that anyone in Congress who said it would not was wrong.

Trump announced that Russia and Ukraine had reached an energy ceasefire.

OCT 11 · Day 38

Trump plan to import Russian diesel draws backlash

The lawmakers' statement was signed by Republicans Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Thom Tillis and John Curtis, as well as Democrats Jeanne Shaheen, Richard Blumenthal and Ron Wyden.

A group of seven senators, including four Republicans and three Democrats, said the deal violated US laws and urged Trump to reverse course.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney criticised the diesel deal.

“Lower prices for Americans, especially our Great Farmers, Ranchers, and Truckers, is my Greatest Priority.”
DONALD TRUMP verbatim
OCT 10 · Day 37

Truckers warn of domino effect from soaring diesel costs

Suave Dorsett said that smaller owner-operators would slowly fall off and create a chain effect that could put pressure on larger carriers.

Miami-based trucker Suave Dorsett said he was seeing diesel at $7.40 per gallon while traveling through Ohio.

Trump predicted at a rally in San Antonio, Texas, that oil prices would come down like a rock once the war with Iran ends.

OCT 09 · Day 36

Trump announces deal for Russian diesel supply to US and global markets

Trump said diesel prices for Americans and the world would come down in record numbers and fast.

Trump issued an executive order allowing truckers to use tax-exempt offroad diesel on highways without federal penalties.

Ukrainian President Zelensky condemned the deal, saying gifts to Putin would not bring peace and that Russia would repay the diesel with further terror.

OCT 09 · Day 36

Delta profit outlook cut as rising fuel costs bite

United Airlines is expected to report earnings after the market close on October 20.

Delta cut its earnings outlook for the year to adjusted earnings per share of $5.10 to $5.60, down from its July forecast of $6.50 to $7.50.

Delta's stock fell 1.1 percent from Friday's opening price in midday trading.

OCT 09 · Day 36

Delta Air Lines cuts 2026 forecast on fuel surge

Elon Musk said on X that Delta CEO Ed Bastian would lose his job over the matter after the View from the Wing travel blog reported Bastian told staff at an internal event that Delta does not want to be with Elon Musk.

Jet fuel prices in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico region almost doubled to $4.34 on Thursday from $2.19 a year earlier, according to FactSet.

SpaceX's Starlink Wi-Fi has become the main supplier of satellite Wi-Fi for airlines, with partnerships including United Airlines, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines and Alaska Airlines.

“The consumer response continues to be quite strong. We're seeing it across all channels, all cabins of service, all geographies, business, leisure,”
ED BASTIAN verbatim
OCT 09 · Day 36

Trump pushes to reduce fuel costs ahead of midterms

Trump announced a deal with President Vladimir Putin for Russian diesel to be released immediately to the US and global markets.

Several states including Ohio and Georgia have cut state taxes on gasoline at Trump's urging.

Trump said the deal included immediate supply of over 300,000 tonnes of Russian diesel, 500,000 tonnes in November, and a further million tonnes immediately thereafter.

“Lower prices for Americans, especially our Great Farmers, Ranchers, and Truckers, is my Greatest Priority.”
DONALD TRUMP verbatim
OCT 08 · Day 35

Gas prices remain high despite improving Strait of Hormuz traffic

The average price of a gallon of gas in the U.S. is $4.36, according to AAA.

A large-scale U.S.-Israeli attack in the winter prompted Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz, resulting in the largest oil supply shock ever recorded.

Roughly four of every 10 barrels of crude now exit the region without going through the Strait of Hormuz, according to Kpler.

OCT 08 · Day 35

Oil prices jump 5% on Middle East tensions and US hurricane threat

Japan's Nikkei share index fell 1.4% and the South Korean Kospi fell 2.6%.

Unnamed officials in Donald Trump's administration said the size and targets of potential strikes against Iran, and whether they would go ahead, were still being debated.

The yield on the UK 30-year bond rose by three basis points to 6.0117%.

OCT 08 · Day 35

Can emergency reserves ease the diesel crisis?

China reportedly curbs its exports.

The Group of Seven has agreed to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel from its emergency stockpiles over four months.

Ukrainian attacks damage Russian refineries.

OCT 08 · Day 35

Gas prices expected to see little relief before Election Day

As of Thursday, the national average for gas prices was $4.36 per gallon.

Diesel prices reached almost $6.53 per gallon on Sept. 22.

Traders on Kalshi give Democrats 63% odds of taking control of the Senate from Republicans.

OCT 07 · Day 34

Chevron CEO warns against diesel export ban

Rising Middle East crude exports and an emergency G7 stockpile release appear to have helped ease supply fears.

Trump signed an executive order to temporarily allow truckers and farmers to use red-dyed diesel and deferred related taxes on the fuel through the end of this year.

Chevron stock is up over 36% year-to-date.

OCT 07 · Day 34

Home heating oil prices soaring, winter bills could rise 21%

Homes using propane are forecast to spend an average of $1,246 this winter, down 3%.

The EIA predicts overall heating-oil consumption will fall 9% this winter even as spending on the fuel jumps.

Home heating oil prices are expected to average $5.26 a gallon during the winter heating season, up 34% from last winter, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration's Winter Fuels Outlook.

OCT 05 · Day 32

Trump blames Democrats and Ukraine for soaring US fuel prices

Trump made his remarks in a Truth Social post on Monday.

Patrick DeHaan said the US told some EU members to release strategic reserves or face a potential US diesel export ban, pushing France and Germany to do so.

An AP-NORC poll found that 65 percent of Americans blamed Trump's policies for higher prices, while 61 percent said the US economy is worse off than when Trump returned to office.

“What’s driving up Gasoline is no longer the Strait of Hormuz, because Record Numbers of Barrels are coming out now on an almost daily basis, but the word, ‘Refineries,’ where Russia’s are being blown up by Ukraine, and where ours are being closed up, in Blue States, like California, by the Dumocrats,”
DONALD TRUMP verbatim
OCT 03 · Day 30

G7 to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel

Trump said Washington would not impose a diesel export ban.

The average US price for a gallon of diesel was $6.50, up from $5.61 a month earlier, according to AAA.

The G7 urged member countries to refrain from imposing export restrictions on energy products among themselves.

OCT 03 · Day 30

G7 nations bow to US pressure and avoid crippling diesel ban

US President Donald Trump demanded G7 leaders release oil and diesel reserves.

Trump threatened to ban all US exports of diesel if European nations did not agree on the measure.

Crude oil prices eased after G7 leaders agreed to release oil and diesel reserves.

OCT 03 · Day 30

Soaring diesel prices take toll on US farmers in midwest corn belt

An ExxonMobil refinery in Joliet, Illinois shut down for more than a week due to a power outage and flooding, taking more than 80 million gallons of diesel and gas offline.

The Columbus school district has recently cut nearly 300 jobs, closed four schools, and limited bussing for students.

Joe Hamilton farms corn and soybeans on 2,500 acres in Indiana's Delaware county.

“The midwest is different form the coasts or even the Gulf, primarily in the [lower] number of oil refineries and how it can respond in times of crisis. If you have water access you can bring tankers in with additional oil,”
KURT LYKINS verbatim
OCT 03 · Day 30

G7 announces release of 100 million barrels of oil and diesel

Trump said Washington would not impose a diesel export ban.

The release includes a substantial diesel release within the first 20 days.

The G7 urged member countries to refrain from imposing export restrictions on energy products among themselves.

OCT 02 · Day 29

G7 countries to release up to 100 million barrels of diesel and crude oil reserves

Trump has been openly considering a U.S. diesel export ban.

Since the start of the year, Brent prices are up more than 60%.

Andy Lipow said the release could temporarily reduce diesel prices by 25 cents per gallon.

“A release of 100 million barrels of diesel fuel over four months would essentially replace Russian exports which have been banned as Ukrainian drone strikes have severely reduced Russian refining capacity,”
ANDY LIPOW verbatim
OCT 02 · Day 29

Oil prices fall on report of potential diesel and crude stock release

Brent crude futures with December expiry traded down 2.5% at $99.78 per barrel.

Oil prices fell on Friday following reports of a potential move to release additional diesel and crude stocks.

Reuters reported that EU member states were discussing a French proposal to release additional diesel reserves following pressure from the Trump administration.

OCT 02 · Day 29

G7 nations agree to release emergency diesel stockpiles

The Trump administration pressured Europe to release diesel stocks as an alternative to the U.S. imposing an export ban.

The G7 nations agreed on Friday to release 100 million barrels of reserves to address surging diesel fuel prices.

France currently holds the G7 presidency.

“should accelerate delivery on their existing commitments and make additional supplies immediately available to address ongoing disruptions.”
SCOTT BESSENT verbatim
OCT 02 · Day 29

UK minister denies diesel shortage after Trump threatens export ban

Simon Williams is the head of policy at the RAC.

Fawley in Hampshire, the UK's biggest refinery, is set to shut for up to 10 weeks for planned maintenance.

The UK has reserve diesel supplies for 42 days.

OCT 02 · Day 29

G7 oil and diesel reserve release

G7 leaders said they will coordinate maintenance schedules to avoid multiple refineries being shut down at the same time.

Trump later said an export ban on diesel was never really on the table.

UK diesel prices at the pump topped £2 a litre for the first time on Friday.

OCT 02 · Day 29

G7 to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel after Trump export ban threat

Matt Smith of Kpler said oil prices reversed course due to rumours of Saudi Arabia planning an offensive into Yemen.

The G7 agreed to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel to ease supply pressures.

The US produces roughly four to five million barrels of diesel per day according to the EIA.

OCT 01 · Day 28

US pressures Europe over diesel reserves as Trump threatens export ban

Twelve EU member states recorded new all-time highs in diesel prices, including Italy, Belgium, Romania, and Poland.

France and Germany hold more than a third of the EU's strategic diesel reserves.

EU trade chief Maros Sefcovic said a US ban on diesel would be unexpected but would have detrimental effects on Europe's economy.

“Our European partners should accelerate delivery on their existing commitments and make additional supplies immediately available to address ongoing disruptions,”
SCOTT BESSENT verbatim
SEP 28 · Day 25

Trump considers diesel export ban amid global supply crunch

Trump has previously urged Ukrainian President Zelenskyy to stop targeting Russian oil refineries.

Benedict George of Argus Media said the U.S. has supplied about half of Europe's diesel imports over the last couple of months.

Average U.S. diesel prices were around $6.50 a gallon on Friday, up sharply from a year ago.

SEP 25 · Day 22

Americans struggling with record rise in gas prices

GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan shared his outlook on gas prices over the next week.

The average price of a gallon of regular gas has risen by more than $1.50 since the war with Iran began.

SEP 25 · Day 22

Analysis: what a US diesel export ban would mean for fuel prices

Drone attacks have damaged major refineries in Russia, forcing cutbacks or halts in production.

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said he was in touch with major oil refiners to gauge interest in a potential voluntary restriction on diesel exports.

President Trump said he supported restricting diesel exports from the US.

“Given these issues, the US may opt for a mixture of carrots and sticks aiming to incentivise refineries to keep producing, perhaps including penalties if they cut production. There may be voluntary export quotas rather than a formal ban, and there may be exemptions for countries that provide crude oil to the US, like Mexico,”
RACHEL ZIEMBA verbatim
SEP 24 · Day 21

Oil shock and potential impact on fuel prices

The old energy map was built on the assumption that the Strait of Hormuz would keep functioning reliably.

Red Sea and Black Sea routes are under strain, forcing producers to find new ways to keep oil moving.

Fuel markets remain tight and the economic fallout is spreading.

SEP 24 · Day 21

Rising diesel prices concern Republicans ahead of midterms

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz during the war took about 20% of the world's oil off the market.

Joseph Brusuelas is chief economist for RSM.

The Middle East conflict began in February.

SEP 24 · Day 21

EU says Trump plan to ban US diesel exports would negatively impact both sides

Europe produces about 70% of the diesel it consumes from domestic refineries.

A UK government spokesperson said forecourts in the UK are being supplied with petrol and diesel as normal and the UK has a diverse and resilient supply.

Trump is reportedly considering a 90-day export ban to provide temporary respite from high pump prices before the midterm elections.

SEP 24 · Day 21

Senators press Trump to release home heating oil reserves amid high prices

Collins and King asserted in their letter that the conflict in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine War have prevented additional heating oil from reaching the global market.

Maine's two U.S. senators, Republican Sen. Susan Collins and Independent Sen. Angus King, Jr., urged President Donald Trump to release home heating oil from the Northeast Home Heating Oil Reserve.

Sen. Angus King is listed as a member of the Senate Democratic caucus.

SEP 24 · Day 21

Big business warns Trump against diesel export ban

Trump said Tuesday that he has advocated for a diesel export ban during deliberations within his administration.

Major U.S. business groups warned President Trump against a diesel export ban in a joint letter.

Russia was previously the second-largest diesel exporter in the world.

SEP 22 · Day 19

Trump administration considers diesel export ban to curb energy costs

Trump said a decision on whether to implement a diesel export ban would quickly be made.

Republican Senator Chuck Grassley of Iowa has called for a diesel export ban.

Ukraine's attacks on Russian refineries have forced Moscow to implement a diesel export ban.

SEP 19 · Day 16

Heating costs expected to soar as households face inflation

Maine residents will spend an average of nearly $675 more to fill a standard 275-gallon tank than they would have a year ago, according to the DOER.

The Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program is a federally-funded program that provides $4 billion in annual support to defray heating costs.

The average heating oil price in Maine was $5.77 per gallon, 74% higher than a year ago, according to the Maine Department of Energy Resources.

“Our clients are faced with tough decisions every winter season, but the cost of fuel has never been this high since I started with the heat program seven years ago,”
ALICIA FASULO verbatim
SEP 19 · Day 16

Airlines cutting flights as jet fuel costs soar

Clint Henderson is the managing editor of The Points Guy.

Clint Henderson shares steps to follow if a flight is cancelled and discusses whether some flights are more at risk of cancellation than others.

SEP 18 · Day 15

US gas prices approach yearly high before midterms

Ukraine said it conducted strikes on Russia's Yaroslavl oil refinery on Thursday.

Goldman Sachs raised its price forecast for Brent crude oil to more than $120 per barrel if Persian Gulf oil flows remained low.

Russia extended a ban on diesel fuel exports through at least the end of September after Ukrainian drone strikes damaged energy assets.

SEP 18 · Day 15

Diesel prices hit record highs amid Strait of Hormuz disruption and Russia-Ukraine war

Overall winter heating costs are expected to rise by more than 8.7% this year, according to the NEADA report.

The nationwide average price for a gallon of regular gas rose by $1.53 since the U.S. war with Iran started.

The average price for a gallon of diesel was around $6.43 as of Friday morning, according to GasBuddy data.

SEP 18 · Day 15

Yemen war and regional conflict drive up prices

The Houthis announced a roughly 10 percent increase in the price of petrol on Monday.

The Houthi-run Yemen Petroleum Company said the diesel and petrol price increase was the result of a global increase in fuel prices and promised it would be temporary.

Fighting resumed in Yemen in the past few months after a four-year period of relative calm.

SEP 17 · Day 14

Record diesel prices impact on US economy

Wolfe said his organization has been lobbying Congress to appropriate more funding for federal heat assistance programs, but the chamber is in recess until November.

Diesel fuel hit an all-time high of $6.31 per gallon on Wednesday.

Buffington said approximately 20% of the world's refining capacity is offline.

SEP 17 · Day 14

Gas prices jump across the United States

Nevada had an average gas price of $5.19 as of Sept. 17, 2026.

California, Alaska, and Hawaii averaged $6.01, $5.07, and $5.48 respectively for a gallon of regular unleaded fuel on Sept. 17, 2026.

The nationwide average for one gallon of unleaded, regular fuel was $4.44 on Thursday, Sept. 17, 2026.

SEP 16 · Day 13

Transport companies sound alarm on fuel prices

Retail sales climbed 1.2% from July to August despite energy-related inflationary pressures.

J.B. Hunt finance chief Brad Delco said to expect a drop in earnings between 5% and 10% from the second to third quarter due to higher costs.

Shares of J.B. Hunt dropped more than 13% in a Wednesday trading session.

“We're talking about $6 diesel, but out here, it's $8 diesel, we noticed on the way in, which is like science fiction,”
CLAUDE ELKINS verbatim
SEP 14 · Day 11

Trump blames Ukraine for rising diesel costs

Trump said the attacks on Russia's refineries are triggering diesel fuel shortages and higher prices.

President Trump called on Ukraine to stop targeting Russia’s refineries.

SEP 14 · Day 11

Oil surge continues; trader sees more upside in surging energy name

Energy trader John Arnold said the underlying supply posture was already bullish.

Oil accounts for 40% of global energy production and 96% of transportation fuel.

The global economy requires approximately 100 million barrels of oil per day.

SEP 14 · Day 11

Prediction market traders bet gas prices will hit new yearly highs

Gas prices peaked at $4.56 per gallon on May 21, according to AAA's national average.

U.S. oil prices are above $100 per barrel.

U.S. gas prices last hit a record high of just over $5 per gallon in June 2022.

SEP 12 · Day 9

Oil returns to $100; China's role

The U.S. crude oil futures contract surged about 50% from its summer low of $68.55.

The U.S. reimposed its naval blockade of Iran in July after the MOU collapsed.

China's crude imports plunged to a wartime low of around 6 million bpd in June, down from 11.5 million bpd in February, according to Kpler data.

SEP 11 · Day 8

US diesel prices top $6 per gallon for first time

The national average price of gasoline hit $4.29 a gallon, according to AAA.

Patrick De Haan said Ukrainian drone strikes on Russia's energy infrastructure have sharply reduced the country's ability to refine oil.

Thomas Ryan said businesses are likely to pass along higher diesel costs to consumers over the next few months if those costs remain elevated.

SEP 11 · Day 8

Oil prices stay above $108 as Asian shares decline

The U.S. dollar fell to 154.35 Japanese yen from 154.42 yen.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng dipped 0.8% to 24,753.54.

Brent crude reached its highest price since May.

SEP 11 · Day 8

Oil prices fall sharply after weekly gains

On Thursday, Brent crude peaked at around $108 a barrel, while WTI hit more than $104.

As of 6:27 a.m. ET, front-month Brent crude oil futures were down by 3.58% to trade at $103.78 a barrel.

Friday's decline snapped five consecutive days of gains for Brent crude and an eight-day winning streak for WTI.

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