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Trump Federal Reserve chair nomination

One page that accretes the verified record as the story develops. Every fact keeps its date and its sources.

263 DAYS
121 FACTS
25 EVENTS
10 SOURCES
FIRST ENTRY DEC 12
AUG 31 · Day 263

Jackson Hole analyst roundup: Warsh speech and Fed hike outlook

Fed funds futures traders see a 60.4% chance of a quarter-point hike in September, up from around 56% on Friday.

Gavekal Research said Warsh's reiteration that short-term interest rates should remain the main instrument of monetary policy implies he will continue to shorten the average duration of the Fed's balance sheet.

Susquehanna said Warsh pledged to return inflation to the 2% target and indicated rates could rise further, strengthening the dollar and reversing part of the debasement trade that had lifted gold roughly 14% in August.

AUG 28 · Day 260

S&P 500 futures flat ahead of Warsh's Jackson Hole address

Warsh said the Fed must be confident that underlying inflation is moving to its objective, clearly and at sufficient speed.

Bill Birmingham is a managing director at REX Financial.

The S&P 500 fell on Friday but notched a winning week.

AUG 26 · Day 258

Economists want Warsh to share economic views at Jackson Hole

65% of respondents agree with Warsh that the Fed would benefit from talking less and getting a more unfiltered view of market signals.

Since taking office, Warsh has declined to offer much on his views of the economy or policy outlook.

Survey respondents were split 48% to 48% on whether the Fed chairman should provide his views on the rate outlook.

“The Administration's efforts to bring down long-term interest rates are spitting into the wind created by the Iran War, massive budget deficits, and confusion over how the Fed will manage monetary policy.”
MARK ZANDI verbatim
AUG 25 · Day 257

Syrian Democratic Forces announce dissolution

The Syrian Democratic Forces led the fight against ISIL.

The Syrian Democratic Forces have declared they are disbanding.

The agreement with Syria's interim government aims to integrate militia groups into the country's official armed forces.

AUG 24 · Day 256

New Fed chair faces critical test at Jackson Hole

The US national debt has surpassed $40 trillion for the first time.

The US government debt market is valued at approximately $30 trillion.

Warsh was accused by investors of sending confusing signals in his first press conference as Fed chair in July.

“He might even stick to the official subject of the symposium, ‘Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy’, in which case his speech could be something of a snoozefest.”
STEPHEN BROWN verbatim
AUG 20 · Day 252

Warsh faces Fed independence test as Bessent moves in on central bank's turf

The Treasury Department announced on Wednesday it would buy back at least $2 billion worth of long-dated treasuries on top of its existing plans.

Kevin Warsh is the Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Warsh wants the Fed to reduce its overall holdings and shift them toward short-term debt, which would likely push up yields on longer-term Treasuries.

“Part of it is signaling here and to show that we believe that the yields don't reflect the underlying fundamentals,”
SCOTT BESSENT verbatim
AUG 10 · Day 242

Kevin Warsh reshapes Federal Reserve operations

Inflation has been elevated for more than five years.

Kevin Warsh is the chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Warsh built AI bots named "Milton" and "Tobin" that ingested the collected works of Milton Friedman and James Tobin.

JUL 09 · Day 210

Kevin Warsh names members of Federal Reserve task forces

Mervin King is the former Governor of the Bank of England.

Warsh has been chairman for less than two months.

The Productivity and Jobs task force members are Marc Andreessen, Charles I. Jones, and Asha Sharma.

“start with first principles; ask hard questions; examine current practice; consider alternatives; and, ultimately, propose next steps for policymaker consideration.”
KEVIN WARSH verbatim
Quote copied with attribution