2026 Wisconsin governor election
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Wisconsin and Michigan primaries expose limits of polls and prediction markets
Prediction markets in Michigan showed El-Sayed with greater than 90% odds to win the Democratic Senate nomination before polls closed.
Polymarket posted on X before polls closed that Hong was a "near-lock" to win the nomination with 96% odds, and the post was later deleted.
Abdul El-Sayed won his Michigan Senate primary by only 1 percentage point over Rep. Haley Stevens after polls had him up double digits.
David Crowley wins Wisconsin governor primary, setting up race against Trump's pick
Crowley was elected to the state Assembly in 2016 at age 30.
Crowley's margin of victory was about half a percentage point.
Trump won Wisconsin in 2024 and 2016 but lost in 2020, with all three elections decided by less than a percentage point.
“The job is not done. The job is not finished. My job is not to become the first, and if I do become the first, my job is to make sure I’m not the last.”
Wisconsin progressive primaries approach with mixed national Democratic support
Francesca Hong is a front-running democratic socialist candidate in the Wisconsin governor primary.
Hong signed a questionnaire from the Madison-area Democratic Socialists of America stipulating candidates uphold the DSA platform and view themselves as socialist organizers first, and legislators second.
Hong has led Crowley by double digits in recent polls, though he has been making gains.
Wisconsin Democrats' governor primary: fight over electability
Hong said she would endorse and campaign with Crowley if he wins the nomination.
Tom Tiffany is a member of the House Freedom Caucus backed by President Donald Trump.
Tom Tiffany is the presumptive Republican nominee for Wisconsin governor.
Democratic socialists face prove-it moment in battleground Wisconsin
Katie Wilson was elected mayor of Seattle last year.
Hong is a dues-paying member of the local Madison chapter of DSA.
Former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes dropped out of the race.