Ned Foley

“risks of weird things happening, and you need to pay attention to them even if the risk is rather low”

Ned Foley · said date not stated · reported 2026-10-31

Foley acknowledged low-probability risks of unusual events occurring around the midterm elections.

“I put the probability of these impactful nightmare scenarios materializing at under 50%, so I’m not expecting them to make a difference,”

Ned Foley · said date not stated · reported 2026-10-31

Foley assessed the likelihood of impactful nightmare scenarios materializing in the midterm elections.

“The more it looks like a blowout or a ‘blue tsunami’, the harder it’s going to be for any attempt to make mischief to get any traction,”

Ned Foley · said date not stated · reported 2026-10-31

Foley discussed how the closeness of midterm contests relates to the potential for election interference.