Geoffrey Hinton

“nobody really knows how to give a sensible estimate.”

Geoffrey Hinton · said 2026-09-10 · reported 2026-09-15

Hinton said a 10% chance of AI killing all humans was not unreasonable but that nobody knows how to give a sensible estimate.

“One where we figure out how to deal with those dangers before they get out of control, and the other where we don't.”

Geoffrey Hinton · said 2026-09-10 · reported 2026-09-15

Hinton laid out two futures: one where humanity deals with AI dangers before they get out of control, and one where it does not.

“This is the kind of thing that's very hard to estimate, because we've never had anything like this before. We've never created beings that may soon be smarter than us.”

Geoffrey Hinton · said 2026-09-10 · reported 2026-09-15

Hinton responded to a BBC question about the probability of AI killing all humans within a decade.

“devastating cyber attacks. There's countless other ways it could get rid of us if it wanted to. We have to figure out how to design it so it won't want to,”

Geoffrey Hinton · said 2026-09-10 · reported 2026-09-15

Hinton warned that AI could design biological viruses and conduct devastating cyber attacks, and said we must figure out how to design it so it won't want to harm us.

“We have two possible futures,”

Geoffrey Hinton · said 2026-09-10 · reported 2026-09-15

Hinton described two possible futures regarding AI dangers.

“And what DOGE did looked like just what you would do.”

Geoffrey Hinton · said date not stated · reported 2026-09-09

Hinton continues his assessment in the documentary, suggesting DOGE's actions resembled what one would do to corrupt elections using AI.

“If you wanted to corrupt the midterm elections and you wanted to use AI, all you needed to do was get detailed information on US citizens,”

Geoffrey Hinton · said date not stated · reported 2026-09-09

Hinton tells Gibney in the documentary that he believes Musk will use personal information accessed through DOGE to corrupt the upcoming midterm elections.