Aaron David Miller

“No future administration is likely going to consider such a military campaign again,”

Aaron David Miller · said date not stated · reported 2026-08-30

Miller assesses the potential long-term deterrent effect on future US military campaigns.

“The highly enriched uranium is still in the country and could still be enriched. Iran has also weaponised geography, in that it’s essentially closed off the Strait,”

Aaron David Miller · said date not stated · reported 2026-08-30

Miller points out Iran's continued nuclear and strategic capabilities despite military strikes.

“Likewise, their proxies in Hamas and Hezbollah, while much reduced, are still in place and still have capacity. The public unrest or internal dissent the US had hoped for hasn’t arisen. In terms of Iranian deterrence, it’s been a huge success for Tehran.”

Aaron David Miller · said date not stated · reported 2026-08-30

Miller evaluates the resilience of Iranian deterrence and its regional proxies.