“in alignment with research on the ‘Wisdom of Crowds’ theory, which suggests a large group of people are often accurate in predicting outcomes, even if they are not necessarily experts or closely aligned with the issue at hand”

The authors of a much-cited 2025 study from Vanderbilt University · said date not stated · reported 2026-11-02

A Vanderbilt University study found Polymarket was more accurate than polls, aligning with the Wisdom of Crowds theory.